Increased death toll for riders

Discussion in 'Australian Motorcycles' started by Peter Cremasco, Mar 3, 2007.

  1. This media release puts single vehicle motorcycle fatalities (at 50%). I
    still can't find the original, where I thought that figure was higher.

    Death (or serious injury) rates went from 13% (of riders) in 1992, to
    35% in 2006 - nearly triple.


    ===========
    Death rate puts old bikers in spotlight

    By Darrell Giles

    March 04, 2007 12:00am
    Article from: The Sunday Mail (Qld)

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    MIDDLE-aged motorcyclists will be the focus of an investigation into
    Queensland fatalities.

    Transport and Main Roads Minister Paul Lucas said several riders in this
    category were among 61 motorcycle deaths last year.

    "Many of these returning riders got their licence years before, and
    after doing well financially have splurged on a high-powered road bike
    they aren't equipped to ride," he said yesterday.

    "These sort of accidents give a whole new meaning to mid-life crisis. We
    are becoming increasingly alarmed at crash rates for men in their 30s
    and 40s."

    Mr Lucas said he would ask the parliamentary Travelsafe Committee to
    investigate the issue of training and management of returning riders.

    Since 1992, the number of riders over 40 who had died or were seriously
    injured as a result of motorcycle crashes has gone from 74 (13 per cent
    of all motorcycle injuries) to 312 (35 per cent).

    Doug Williamson, 53, of Forest Lake in Brisbane, recently rejoined the
    riders' ranks when he bought a $32,000 2007 Harley Fat Boy.

    The aviation insurance expert did a skills refresher course and was
    amazed at how much he learned.

    "It was certainly worth it," Mr Williamson said.

    "You see all these guys who used to ride when they were younger. They
    get to that stage in life when they want something different. A Harley
    is a nice, big bike . . . some other models are fast and can be
    dangerous for an inexperienced rider."

    Mr Williamson, who rode to Alice Springs with his wife, said the club he
    belonged to provided training courses for new bike owners.

    "It's all about the mechanics of riding," he said.

    Mr Lucas said he has asked the committee to look at overall motorcycle
    safety.

    Motorcycle registrations increased from 97,000 in 2004 to 124,000 in
    2006, a 28 per cent spike.

    A graduated licensing system, including logbooks for novice riders,
    restrictions on power to weight ratio and speed for specific licence
    holders are among issues the committee will be asked to consider.

    Mr Lucas said the Government was also implementing changes in training
    and assessment of riding schools, including random checks and audits of
    trainers.

    Latest statistics revealed that speeding was to blame in 40 per cent of
    motorcycle deaths on Queensland roads in 2006.

    Almost 50 per cent were single-vehicle accidents.

    "I accept that other motorists need to be far better informed with
    respect to motorcyclists, but it's time we laid to rest the myth
    perpetuated by some bike riders that it is always someone else's fault,"
    he said.

    From July 1, tough measures aimed at young motorists come in, including
    that motorcycle riders must hold a provisional car licence for 12 months
    before gaining a learner motorcycle licence.
    =========
    ---
    Cheers

    PeterC [aka MildThing]


    '01 Yamaha FJR1300

    www.dmcsc.org.au
    http://eladesom.com.au/ulysses/
    # 37181
     
    Peter Cremasco, Mar 3, 2007
    #1
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  2. In aus.motorcycles on Sun, 04 Mar 2007 08:32:08 +1000
    THe NSW figures show that while number of crashes in that age group
    have increased, the number as a percentage of riders hasn't.

    I wonder if that's true of the Qld figures?

    And the death/injury rate above - is that percentage of valid
    licences? or percentage of crashes?

    In other words are we saying "more riders are having crashes and they
    are fatal" or "more of the crashes that riders are having are fatal"

    Zebee

    Zebee
     
    Zebee Johnstone, Mar 4, 2007
    #2
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  3. Peter Cremasco

    Boxer Guest

    The Queensland Government are releasing a lot of legislation and comments in
    lots of areas to try and muddy the waters over the charging of 2
    ex-ministers.

    Boxer
     
    Boxer, Mar 4, 2007
    #3
  4. Peter Cremasco

    atec 77 Guest

    A little time should out those fools , the opposition might even get
    some points out of it if they can find their own arses.
     
    atec 77, Mar 4, 2007
    #4
  5. Peter Cremasco

    Nev.. Guest

    These figures I just grabbed don't support that view at all. There has
    been a HUGE shift in the proportion of fatalities away from the
    young-and-dumb age groups into the mid-life-crisis age groups.


    All rider fatalities for all Australian states.

    u18 18-27 28-37 38-47 48-57 57+
    1990 8% 55% 27% 7% 1% 1%
    1991 7% 53% 24% 10% 4% 2%
    1992 10% 50% 25% 10% 3% 2%
    1993 5% 55% 24% 11% 4% 1%
    1994 5% 48% 31% 10% 3% 3%
    1995 6% 47% 27% 14% 3% 3%
    1996 3% 53% 24% 13% 4% 3%
    1997 6% 42% 27% 17% 6% 3%
    1998 4% 47% 25% 17% 5% 2%
    1999 4% 36% 30% 21% 5% 2%
    2000 3% 36% 34% 17% 8% 2%
    2001 3% 34% 33% 17% 10% 3%
    2002 4% 29% 35% 17% 10% 5%
    2003 3% 31% 31% 21% 10% 4%
    2004 5% 31% 30% 18% 11% 5%
    2005 2% 33% 29% 18% 9% 9%
    2006 2% 33% 29% 20% 10% 5%

    Nev..
    '04 CBR1100XX
     
    Nev.., Mar 4, 2007
    #5
  6. Peter Cremasco

    Nev.. Guest

    Sorry, I misread that, percentage of riders.. not crashers.

    As things go though, you'd expect younger (inexperienced/no fear) riders
    to be over-represented and older (experienced/awareness of mortality)
    riders to be under-represented in the stats, as they are in the total
    road toll.

    If the proportion of older riders being killed is comparable to their
    proportion of all riders, this in itself demonstrates an
    over-representation in the toll and probably highlights an inadequacy in
    experience and/or training for that age group.

    Nev..
    '04 CBR1100XX
     
    Nev.., Mar 4, 2007
    #6
  7. Peter Cremasco

    Uncle Bully Guest

    If I die I my bike, I want it to be my fault.
    The best figure for single vehicle fatals is 100%. 50% is still way, way
    short of the mark.
     
    Uncle Bully, Mar 4, 2007
    #7
  8. Peter Cremasco

    Boxer Guest


    Don't bet on it.

    Boxer
     
    Boxer, Mar 4, 2007
    #8
  9. Peter Cremasco

    atec 77 Guest

    I wont , but I try to plan for contingencies , the opposition might
    mount on offense in the next 30 or 40 years ?
     
    atec 77, Mar 4, 2007
    #9
  10. In aus.motorcycles on Sun, 04 Mar 2007 16:51:34 +1100
    Are those numbers crashes as a percentage of riders in that age group?

    Because if they aren't, then they don't take account of the Baby
    Bulge.

    Zebee
    Zebee
     
    Zebee Johnstone, Mar 4, 2007
    #10
  11. In aus.motorcycles on Sun, 04 Mar 2007 17:32:24 +1100
    My understanding is they are *under* represented. By quite a margin.
    over 10 percentage points from memory.

    It's rubbery because no one really knows hours spent riding in any
    group, or miles travelled.

    You can look at licences, you can look at bikes owned, that's about
    all you can do. What you can't do is say "this group rides this much
    in these places, this other lot rides less or rides in different
    places."

    By both those measures, under 25s are over-represented, and over 45s
    are under-represented.

    Do under 25s have more exposure, riding more and in all weathers?
    Are the old farts just polishing the things and not riding them much?
    No way to know.

    I believe that the under-25s are getting snotted in the city, the over
    45s are indeed dying on the open road, but that might be where they
    are doing all their riding - using the car to get to work, and not
    tending to go out at night.

    We also don't know why they are dying. The popular wisdom is too much
    bike, but look at what all those Ulysses guys are riding: big tourers,
    not sportbikes. Are the inexperienced older riders going for R1s the
    way the ones just off P plates do? or are they buying big heavy but
    slow old Harleys?

    How are they crashing? The stats don't say because there's no requirement
    for serious investigation in NSW. (I believe the Vics are starting
    to do it.) If someone runs wide was it not enough skill, was it a
    horrible old pusbucket that handles worse than a Norton, or maybe was
    it a biggish lunch at a country pub and not quite with it and missing
    the entry because of sleepiness? (We know, for example, that there is
    a high crash rate in Windsor in the afternoon on weekends which seems
    to be people coming back from a run on the Putty, and being tired and
    not dialling their traffic smarts back in.)

    No one knows. But think of the over 45s you know who ride, eyeball a
    Ulysses club run or a Hog club, are they hooning and overbiked? Is
    the rider you see on the local racer road who is clearly out of their
    depth, does the body outline look young or old?

    NO doubt there are some old fellas who are overbiked. I don't think
    there' a plague of them though.

    Zebee
     
    Zebee Johnstone, Mar 4, 2007
    #11
  12. Peter Cremasco

    jlittler Guest

    OK, well I assume it's a rhetorical question, but if not, then yes I
    don't see very many over 35's "overbiked" I can think of a handful
    rding R!s and GSXR1000s but the majority are riding heavy weight
    tourers. There's a grey area in the middle though, the "returning
    bikers" I run into tend to be 40 plus (and usually closer to 50) and
    far more likely to be riding heavy weight cruisers than anything else.
    The late 20's to early 40's brigade are the ones running the 1litre
    4cyl's and yes I'd say they're a high crash risk - but very few of
    them are returning bikers.

    JL
    (am I a returning biker ? I took 5 or so years out from mid 90's to
    2000 after riding from 7 to 25 (ish) )
     
    jlittler, Mar 4, 2007
    #12
  13. Peter Cremasco

    Boxer Guest


    I think large cruisers can be exceptionally overbiked for a born-again, a
    Fat-Boy for example is not a bike for a inexperienced rider but a lot of
    born-again's are riding them and getting themselves into trouble.

    Boxer
     
    Boxer, Mar 4, 2007
    #13
  14. Peter Cremasco

    Nev.. Guest

    No, they are real numbers, because, as everyone (well.. lots of people
    know) noone _really_ knows how many motorcyclists there really are.
    They fall into so many different groups and subsets. I would imagine it
    would be an incredibly difficult (probably impossible) task to count the
    actual number of riders... and then how would you define who is or is
    not a rider anyhow?

    Nev..
    '04 CBR1100XX
     
    Nev.., Mar 4, 2007
    #14
  15. In aus.motorcycles on Sun, 04 Mar 2007 10:45:41 GMT
    What's your source for that?

    In NSW it's hell trying to get details of bikes involved in crashes.
    I believe that some of that information is becoming available, but
    haven't seen the results.

    Would be interesting to know if there's any decent info from the ACT
    which has quite a few Harleys on the learner legal list.

    Zebee
     
    Zebee Johnstone, Mar 4, 2007
    #15
  16. In aus.motorcycles on Mon, 05 Mar 2007 03:36:18 +1100
    Demographically we know there are more people in the 45+ age group.

    We know how many licences are held, we know how many bikes people of
    that age group have registered in their names.

    We don't know how many ride, or how many hours they ride for.

    But given the demographic hump, raw numbers are useless to determine
    if older riders have a larger crash risk.

    Zebee
     
    Zebee Johnstone, Mar 4, 2007
    #16
  17. Peter Cremasco

    jlittler Guest

    Looks at $600 worth of text books plus downloads of cases making a
    stack of dead tree taller than he is (1).... <chortle> yes, well may
    you say "it's worth a look" but it ain't gunna happen ! I think I'm
    going to have to give up on reading ausmoto (2) something has to
    give !

    JL
    (1) Yes, yes, but 3 and a half feet of dead tree is still a lot of
    reading
    (2) And we all know that ain't gunna - happen - how else will I be
    able to procrastinate when an assignment is due ?
     
    jlittler, Mar 4, 2007
    #17
  18. Peter Cremasco

    Nev.. Guest

    The problem with motorcycle licenses is that they don't cost anything to
    maintain, so once you have a license, you're counted on that list of
    license holder's for life. That number is useless.
    or what they ride? How many of those registered bikes are for offroad
    use only? How many Johno's of the world only make it past the letterbox
    half a dozen times per year? How many are dirt bikes which never see a
    sealed road?
    Demographic hump? The aging of the population?
    crash risk.

    We need a census question ! (or two.. or three))

    Nev..
    '04 CBR1100XX
     
    Nev.., Mar 5, 2007
    #18
  19. Peter Cremasco

    Nev.. Guest

    people know) noone _really_ knows how many motorcyclists there really
    are. They fall into so many different groups and subsets. I would
    imagine it would be an incredibly difficult (probably impossible) task
    to count the actual number of riders... and then how would you define
    who is or is not a rider anyhow?
    The problem with motorcycle licenses is that they don't cost anything to
    maintain, so once you have a license, you're counted on that list of
    license holder's for life. That number is useless.
    or what they ride? How many of those registered bikes are for offroad
    use only? How many Johnos of the world only make it past the letterbox
    half a dozen times per year? How many are dirt bikes which never see a
    sealed road?
    Demographic hump? The aging of the population?
    crash risk.

    We need a census question ! (or two.. or three))

    Nev..
    '04 CBR1100XX
     
    Nev.., Mar 5, 2007
    #19
  20. Peter Cremasco

    jlittler Guest

    No - the baby boomer bulge - you old farts who are busily cocking the
    world up for us !

    JL
    (it's not like any other generaration ever did anything wrong :)
     
    jlittler, Mar 5, 2007
    #20
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